The beginning of the 2015-16 NFL football season kicks off August 9th with the NFL Hall of Fame game. The Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Minnesota Vikings in the Steel City. It sounds like an exciting game to wager on during the regular season, but betting on preseason games is a bit different. Here are a few tips to help you make the most educated wager:
Keep the Bet Small
It’s exciting to finally have American football back on television, but don’t be tempted to go crazy the first preseason game. It’s always important to understand how a preseason game works before you place a wager. After all, preseason is all about fine tuning each team’s action plan for the season.
This means the starters usually play the 1st quarter and the 3rd quarter, and then the back-ups and 3rd stringers play the rest. It allows the players to build chemistry, get all the kinks out of the way, and it even helps decide who will be on the final 53-man roster. We recommend betting no more than 30% of what you would normally play.
This is where most of your research will come into play. Take for instance the Pittsburgh Steelers. Troy Polamalu retired, their defense has basically been overhauled with new talent, and their 1st string offense could be the best in the league this year. You won’t be seeing Big Ben playing for an extensive period of time, because he’s the centerpiece of their offense.
Then you have to take a look at the Minnesota Vikings. They dealt with Adrian Peterson’s antics the entire offseason, the franchise is sold on keeping Teddy Bridgewater as the mainstay quarterback, they acquired deep threat WR Mike Wallace, and said goodbye to several defensive players; including Jared Allen.
Expect to see WR Antonio Brown and WR Mike Wallace get a few chances downfield. If any of them connect, this could be a surprising “Over” line to wager. It’s surprising, because the first game of the preseason typically isn’t a high scoring affair. In fact, over the last 5 years; the average total points during was 31. In fact, the game that went over was the New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins in 2013’s Hall of Fame game (44).
The Backup Players
One area you also need to research is the back players. This goes far deeper than the quarterbacks. Even though we would side with Shaun Hill who is probably one of the better back-ups in the league, the running backs and defense will be just as important. Don’t worry too much about the wide outs except for the first-stringers, because none of the back-ups will “really” make an impact. [Read more…]