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How to Use Advanced Baseball Statistics to Your Advantage

Sabermetrics is something that’s been around for a long time, but it’s making a serious comeback. Seasoned punters have long used statistics to their advantage, but the field is still a bit too murky for beginners to fully grasp. It can be difficult to really gather up enough resources to make a decent bet based on the statistics offered to you. But what if you could clear the field and get something to work out to your advantage? There’s no need to fear statistics, after all, if you can learn how to interpret them profitably.

In order to understand why they’re profitable, you have to understand what they represent. If you’re a baseball fan, you’ll hear a few radio announcers and sports commenters talk about these statistics during the game.

Tracking performance of star players helps you figure out where you want to place your wagers. A strong team with strong statistics is going to give you a better return on your investment than a team with weak numbers. Yet you can’t just take numbers at face value. That wouldn’t be true analysis. You have to look at the context that wraps around those numbers. There’s a few different statistics that you can use to your advantage. Let’s run through those real quick.

1. WAR (Wins Above Replacement)

This statistic gets quoted quite a bit on television. It’s wins above replacement, a measurement of a player’s offense and defense abilities, relative to all of the actual players that could replace him. That’s an important distinction because not everyone can replace the player in question. You want to look at players with a decent WAR score as players that are going to bring value everywhere they go. So if a player gets traded, then you already know that they’ve got something interesting to offer the team. You may wish to adjust your wagers accordingly.

Baseball Statistics

2. BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play)

Batting average on balls in play is another measurement that gets quoted often. This measures how many of a batter’s “active” balls go towards hits, or which balls in play go against a pitcher for hits. It excludes homeruns. It’s used primarily to track the performance of pitchers.

3. WHIP (Walks Per Hits Pitched)

This is one of the statistics that is easily understood. You want to know how many walks a player actually creates based on the hits pitched. Pretty straightforward, compared to some of the other more esoteric statistics.

Baseball is filled with statistics. You could spend an entire day looking at teams based on statistics alone. In fact, there are many professional analysts that do exactly this. It may take you a while to really get this system down pat, but it’s definitely worth adding to your toolbelt if you’re really serious about baseball betting.

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Who’ll win the Premier League in 2015?

Once all the furore around the World Cup has settled down – we’ll have a few weeks off then it will be time for the new seasons again all across Europe’s big leagues. And amongst these leagues there are none more interesting or competitive than England’s Premier League. But who will win it next season?

Premier League

Well it would seem to be between five teams. As things stand, José Mourinho’s Chelsea are marginal favourites to win – just ahead of last year’s champions Man City. But there’s not much to choose between the two at somewhere around 2/1. Then there’s a bit of a gap to Man United who may be rejuvenated under new boss Louis van Gaal who is currently doing a great job steering Holland through the World Cup. United are 11/2.

Louis van Gaal

They’re followed in the betting by last year’s runners-up Liverpool at around 8-1 and Arsenal at around 9/1. This year, Liverpool will have a Champions League campaign which may prove enervating – something they didn’t have to deal with last year. But even more importantly, of course, the signs are that they may be losing the serial biter and star player Luis Suarez to Barcelona for what will, presumably, be an enormous fee.

Of the five – Arsenal seem to be the value bet. The Gunners led the league for a long time at the start of last season before running out of steam and finishing fourth. But they were absolutely beset by injury problems and had looked very strong until that occurred. What’s more – they enjoyed a long and arduous FA Cup run as well as the Champions League. And whilst Gunners fans were delighted to see them lift the FA Cup in May – they’d much prefer Premier League success, so that is surely where Arsene Wenger’s focus will be this season. It would be no great surprise to see Arsenal exit both cup competitions early on as they concentrate on league success; time will tell.

Mourinho

Otherwise a lot will depend on what Mourinho, van Gaal, Liverpool’s Brendan Rodgers and Man City’s Manuel Pellegrini do in the transfer market before the start of the season. Or maybe the new man at the helm at Spurs, Mauricio Pochettino will make a few moves of his own a spring a surprise? If his record at Southampton is anything to go by – he could well so that. Spurs are currently a whopping 50-1 with 32Red. And it may be that you can qualify for a free bet here. If you click here to visit 32Red online casino, you’ll soon see that you qualify for up to £160 free if you haven’t previously registered with the site. So if you’re lucky enough and retain the free cash or maybe even win a bit more – you could end up with a free bet on next year’s Premier League winner – but who will that be exactly!?

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What California Chrome’s Loss at Belmont Really Says for Horse Racing?

You’ve had time to deal with the results already, so we’ll be blunt: C. Chrome lost. A fourth place finish isn’t the end of the world, but it’s still a long way from being a Triple Crown winner. There were some punters that worried about C. Chrome from the beginning. Yes, the horse took the Derby. Yes, the horse took the Preakness. But concerns about speed and endurance have always been hanging out in the background, all the way back during the Road to the Derby series.

Again, the horse is still impressive. People are moaning about the loss of the Crown as if it means that this wonderful horse is bound for a slaughterhouse in some foreign land. That’s just not the case at all. California Chrome is a great horse, with a lot more fight in him than meets the eye.

Let’s not forget all of the stud fees that the owners are going to be able to collect. Winning the Derby and the Preakness definitely gets you noticed. Tonalist won the Belmont, but that win is opening up some controversial doors. It also says a lot about horse racing.

California Chrome

Tradition has a difficult time surviving in the modern world, especially when the modern era is so digital. We have much more data to work with than we used to, and this requires the racing world to change. Should Tonalist been allowed to compete in the last leg of the Crown, when the horse didn’t race in the Derby or the Preakness? Some say yes, but others say that this change is disastrous. They say it’s not fair that C. Chrome had to race in both prior races while Tonalist was allowed to compete “fresh”.

We think that some sort of agreement needs to be reached. If the fresh horses are allowed to compete, some will feel that it doesn’t accurately display the skills of the other horses. On the other hand, some say that a true Triple Crown champion should be able to defeat even the fresh horses to take the title properly.

This is an argument that won’t be concluded anytime soon. Some people are just sore that California Chrome didn’t take the title, since it’s been 38 years since a horse has been able to take the title.

There were some punters rejoicing on that loss, of course: if you bet against California Chrome taking the title, then you might have made some money off side bets. You could also make money off C. Chrome’s 4th place win. It’s all about how you structure your bets :)

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The History of the NBA

For anyone that’s unfamiliar with the National Basketball Association, they are the biggest and best professional basketball league in the world. Although the NBA is based in North America and features 29 American and 1 Canadian side, it is widely recognised that this organisation has the premier players and teams from around the globe. Having been founded in New York City on June 6, 1946, the NBA originally went by the name Basketball Association of America, and it was not until the August of 1949 that National Basketball Association was adopted. The Toronto Huskies played hosts to the New York Knickerbockers in the first ever official NBA game, which took place at Maple Leaf Gardens in Canada.

From 1979, the NBA had a real surge in popularity and one of the more exciting moves by the organisation was to add the three pointer to the rule book which made for more dramatic matches. Also that year, Larry Bird joined the Boston Celtics, while Magic Johnson made his debut for the Los Angeles Lakers. These two giants of the game eventually went toe to toe at the 1984 NBA Finals and so began a rivalry which generated huge fan interest around the world. Both players lead their respective sides to numerous NBA titles and were the most famous names in the game until the arrival of Michael Jordan. Jordan became a global brand all of his own during the 90s and would help the Chicago Bulls secure three NBA Titles in succession from 1991 to 1993. He repeated the same feat in 96, 97 and 1998 before retiring the following year. Jordan did make a comeback with the Washington Wizards but injuries meant his game time was limited.

NBA

The 2014 NBA Championship title race is currently in its latter stages, with the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs battling it out for the prestigious crown. Miami Heat are currently available at odds of 5/7 with bookmaker Betfair, while the Spurs can be backed at odds of 6/5. There is also betting available on the Series Score at Betfair which is sure to appeal to a number of basketball fans. The most popular series score at the time of writing is Miami to win by a 4-2 margin and that outcome can be supported at the 12/5 mark. For any San Antonio fans out there, Gregg Popovich’s side are available at generous looking odds of 11/2 to win the title by that same 4-2 score line.

The future of the NBA definitely looks bright and the fact that the NBA players are the world’s best paid sportsmen tells its own story. Betting on this sport and the NBA in particular remains big business. Bookmaker Betfair are one of the very best sportsbooks that provide betting opportunities for basketball punters and there are prices available on the NBA championship as well as individual matches throughout the calendar year.

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5 Tips For Better 2014 FIFA World Cup Wagers

Are you pumped up for the arrival of the 2014 FIFA World Cup tournament? If you aren’t excited now, think about this: the World Cup is one of the top sporting events of the summer, which means that everyone is going to be watching. Well, that’s only half right, you know. You see, football fans aren’t just going to be watching the action. They’re going to be making calls to bookmakers and placing bets on outcomes. There are so many different markets for this event that it’s going to be hard to keep up. The bottom line is this: there’s money to be made, if you wish to do so. Don’t waste another tournament year just watching the action, when you can take a tiny bit of the action pie for yourself. That tiny piece could end up being thousands if you make the right plays!

Here’s how to get things done. We’ll assume that you have a basic knowledge of the markets, and of online sports betting in general.

1. Know the Rules

It goes without saying that this is going to be a pretty big event. Millions of fans are going to be watching, and this represents a huge opportunity for all of the casinos and sportsbooks to offer some great odds. But remember, sportsbooks online are still businesses, and that means that they’re going to want to get some profit for themselves. Look up what circumstances have to take place for a bet to be marked void. Those circumstances could turn a surefire bet into a cancelled opportunity, which is the last thing that you want. While you’re refunded the money, it means that you also need to redirect it. Knowing ahead of time what events can trigger a bet to be made void can get you looking at alternate pathways of profit much faster than if you let yourself be surprised.

2014 FIFA World Cup

2. Shop Around for Odds

Why leave money on the table? Yes, there’s something to be said for loyalty in most areas of life. But the world of online sports betting isn’t one of those arenas. You want to shop around to make absolutely sure that you’re laying down the foundation for big profits here. A generous sportsbook that lets you make money knows ahead of time that there will be players that are sharks, but there will also be plenty of players that make trash bets too. Believe us, there’s plenty of opportunities for the sportsbook to profit without you giving up good odds for way too much margin. The word is getting out these days: too much margin means that you’re going to have to break a sweat just to eke out a tiny bit of profit for yourself. But you won’t find that advertised anywhere, of course.

3. Study Teams of Interest

Remember that this is a tournament. It’s going to run from June 14th to July 26th. That’s plenty of time for you to look at different teams that are of interest, right? The key point we’re trying to make is that you don’t want to just bet from the gut. You want to have a clear plan for success if you’re really serious about getting things done. Big money doesn’t come from following the crowd; big money comes from having a clear idea of the strengths and weaknesses that all of your teams of interest are going to bring to the table.

4. Rebet Smartly

Exactly what the consideration means: don’t just rebet because people are chattering. Look at the statistics, the numbers, and the glorious data around betting. Then make your decision. You’ll have a better series of results; we (almost) guarantee it!

5. Get Creative!

There are plenty of markets just within outright betting alone. The World Cup is going to bring some awesome opportunities for creative bets. You don’t have to do anything outside of your comfort zone if you don’t want to. But here’s a few interesting markets that we think you should watch closely:

Top North American Team
Top South American Team
Team to Receive Fastest Yellow Card
Top 3 Final

These tips should serve you well in the tournament. Don’t forget one thing: go bold. Make mistakes. These tips won’t stop you from every single error, but they can make it so that the game is much more enjoyable for you. Being profitable is a lot of work over time, but it’s worth it as long as you’re willing to put in the effort. Good luck out there!

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How to Bet at the Sportsbook Like a Boss

Look, here’s something that you need to think about when it comes to online sports betting — you can either do it, or you can’t. There’s nothing wrong with knowing you need a little help, and that’s where we come in. We definitely want to make sure that you get the results that you’re looking for. If you can step back and have a good time placing your bets, it’ll heighten the pleasure that you get from the betting experience in the first place. What could really be better than that?

The first thing that you need to do is think about what type of bet that you want to make. You can get exotic and go with a parley bet, or you can just bet the spread. The spread gives you the most leeway, because you still make money back on your wager even if you’re not quite spot on with the score of the winning team.

How do you really know which team to put your money on? That’s the fun part — you don’t. You’re going to have to look at the way each team has been playing all season before you get better at making picks. This is actually a subject that people debate for a long time. They want to know all of the statistics around each game. It’s easy to feel like you can just bet from the gut, but that doesn’t really get you too terribly far.

Bet at the Sportsbook

Focus more on the experience — once you place your wagers, you can step back and watch the game unfold. There will be a deadline for getting in your wagers before the game progresses too far. If you miss that deadline? You’re just out of luck.

Most sportsbooks have forums where you can reach out to fans around the country, if not around the world. Don’t think that you’re going to be limited in terms of what you can put money on. NFL football is hot right now, but hockey is right around the corner.

Joining a sportsbook for the first time? Don’t forget that you’re going to be eligible for a deposit bonus. Some people look at bonus directories, where sites list the top sportsbooks paying out the best bonuses. But there’s really no need to go “bonus hunting” if you don’t want to. You can always just check out a sportsbook that catches your eye, read some reviews for the best online gambling sites, and check it out for yourself. If it’s not what you want, then that’s fine as well.

Now is the best time to get out there making your bets. But we’re not done – we have plenty of information to help you bet on sports this holiday season!

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Choosing The Right Type Of Running Shoes

Whether you are walking out in the street, the dirt, the sand, or grass, most of the time, a specific type of shoe is worn to fit the environment. If one wants to run at maximum efficiency, then purchasing running shoes is what needs to be done. Choosing the right type of shoe in this matter, requires that you have a basic understanding of what material you are looking for and finding the right fit, not necessarily in size, but literally how the running shoes conform to your feet. Just like individuals need to have the right tools in order to get a job done, a runner needs to have the right type of shoes in order to run at their greatest capacity.

When looking for running shoes, there are several things to be aware of. Although the brand of a running shoe can often times determine the quality of the shoe itself, two other important traits also play a role in how your shoes will affect your running. When looking for running shoes, you want to make sure that the material you are going for is flexible but comfortable at the same time. This is a major factor when it comes to your running ability because without flexibility, you will lose your range of motion and in turn, your ability to run faster will be decreased.

running shoes

Comfortableness is another important factor since there will be lots of contact with the ground. In this regard, finding the shoe with the material that best suits you is key before your purchase. The purchase of a good pair of running shoes in particular, has to be meticulously thought out due to the fact that its wear can directly impact your performance.

Acknowledging the fact that running shoes can impact your performance negatively or positively depending on which one you acquire is extremely important. Knowing what material your shoe is made out of and seeing how flexible it is will definitely give you the edge on the track or wherever else you plan on running. When it comes to choosing the right type of running shoes you will be wearing, always keep in mind those two traits.

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Horse Handicapping 101 – Older or Younger

If you’re brushing off your handicapping skills before the Derby, you might have a long way to go. There’s so many horses competing that it can be hard to pin down who you want your top horse to be. Even after the Derby is long gone, there will be great races to follow. That’s why starting to refine your handicapping now can yield big benefits in the future.

So, how do we set the stage? The daily racing form is a great way to look at all of the contenders, but today’s lesson is a bit of general theory. You have younger horses against older horses. Does youth win? Or does experience play a bigger role? Do you want to go with a horse that’s relatively untested, the wildcard, or do you want to go super conservative and pick a horse that’s already won a bunch of allowance stakes?

The choice isn’t easy, because you can go either way. It’s also a bit of a “false choice”, because age alone doesn’t mean much. Sure, a young horse has a bit more life in them, but this “life” is marred by inexperience. Simply put, the horse can be stubborn and not perform nearly the way that you wanted them to perform.

Horse Handicapping

We advise making two groups in your handicapping drafts: the younger horses, along with the older horses. In the young group, you want to refine by looking at the performance of the jockeys, as well as the horse’s performance on different fields. There’s an inherent track bias that you need to keep aware of, and that bias can ruin a horse. Yet it’s not just about the condition of the track, either. (See why this can be complicated?)

You have to think about the horse’s endurance in general. You can look at the races they’ve won and then look at the track. Was it a speed race, or an endurance race? The longer tracks will bring out the horses that can go the distance, while the shorter tracks will reveal your sprinters.

As you begin to filter and refine based on historical data, you’ll realize that you’ll have more than a few horses in the running. It can be a lengthy process to narrow down the horses you want, but it’s worth it. If you are going to make sure that you practice conservative handicapping, you may want to avoid super exotic bets. There’s no need for a supertrifecta or an accumulator bet if you’re going to study the data. Sometimes, the “simple bets” can lead to the most money.

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Cool Horse Racing Bets You Might Have Missed

Tired of the parlay bet? In horse racing, you have plenty of different ways to bet on the big races. As you watch the Road to the Derby series, you may already have a head start on your handicapping. Don’t get frustrated if the rankings change quite often. You still make a little money on these small races until the Kentucky Derby is here.

Here are a few different bets to check out.

If you want something easy peasy simple, you can’t go wrong with a straight win bet. As the name implies, you put money down on one horse for the win. You can calculate how much you’re going to get by looking at the odds multiplied against the stake that you put up. If you’re trying to skip the handicapping and “bet from the gut” or make guesses or follow hunches, this is the best way to go.

If you’re already handicapping, you might as well check out something like the each-way bet. It’s half on the horse you want to win, followed by the other half going to the horse you want to finish in one of the top 3 places. Some races are generous and will consider 4th place a winner as well, which can give you some leeway.

Horse Racing Bets

One of our favorite types of bets would have to be the forecast bet, also referred to as the tricast bet. Now, for our American friends, this is the exacta and trifecta.

Basically, the forecast bet means that you get the 1st and 2nd place winners in perfect order. Considering that you have to pretty much be a mind reader to get this down pat, it’s really a fun bet with a lot on the line. If you happen to get it right, you’ll win a lot of money. If you don’t get it right, you don’t get anything but a few laughs. All the more reason to only risk money that you can afford to lose. Gambling is good entertainment, and there’s nothing wrong with it.

But if the forecast bet is too much for you, you may want to check out the reverse forecast, where it doesn’t matter the order you place the horses. As long as they hit the required placements, the bet still pays out.

Betting should be fun, not stressful. Give yourself time to check into everything, and you’ll be able to put out some good bets!

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Are These Horses Truly Derby Contenders

Everyone’s passing around lists of horses they think could be contenders in the Kentucky Derby race to come. Now, May is a long way away, and that means that there’s plenty of time to speculate. Since no one really knows a solid contender list, we figured that we’d just join in on the fun. We wanted to list a few horses and see what all of you think. Let’s pretend that we don’t really have an order here. We don’t want to cause a war, you know! :)

1. Tapiture

Tapiture_horse_racing

What an elegant horse! Have you seen this fella? If you’re not sure if you should look at Tapiture just yet, hare’s some background. He’s trained by Steve Asmussen, who is no newcomer to racing. His own parents were trainers, and his brother is a decorated jockey. He’s nailed 650 wins in a single year. Tapiture is owned by Winchell Thoroughbreds, a family that definitely has racing in their blood! The Winchells are pretty proud of Tapiture, who whose sire is Tapit, and his dam is Free Spin.

Tapiture definitely has speed in his blood, but distance is tricky. Tapit ended up in ninth place during the 2004 Kentucky Derby, but that doesn’t mean that Tapiture shouldn’t be considered a favorite. Free Spin won 3 of her 6 starts, and is a daughter of Olympio, a very decorated horse in his own right.

2. Intense Holiday

Intense Holiday
Now, this is definitely a horse that got our attention! This contender won the Risen Star Stakes on February 22nd, but it’s how the horse won that got our attention. Albano was definitely home free at the sixteenths pole, and it felt like a sure victory. But Intense Holiday proved that nothing in horse racing is ever certain, or foolproof. Kerwin Clark, the jockey who rode Albano in that race, was very surprised. A second place finish still deserves merit, but Intense Holiday definitely got the bragging rights. [Read more...]