These are common techniques used by sports handicappers. Handicapping sport games means just what it implies. Trying to find which team has an advantage for any reason whatsoever. The teams who are at the highest advantages are the ones you bet on.
Key injuries to key players is very significant. Obviously if a star player on any team goes down it’s going to hurt the team. However, some teams have many star players and even though it still affects them, they can still win. On the other hand some teams look for that lone player to win them games.
An injury to key positions is probably the most important kind of injuries. In most sports there’s always that one position that can make or break a game for you. For Football it’s your quarterback, for Hockey it’s your goaltending and for Baseball it’s your pitcher. Injuries to these positions are important. Let’s say that an NHL goalie gets hurt which is a reasonable assumption. The team resorts to putting a rookie playing his first ever game in net. They are playing the highest scoring team in the league next. This is a horrible situation for the team and the goalie. The end result would be a very lopsided game. The same can be said about a 2nd string quarterback who must face a very tough defense. These are major disadvantages that should be taken advantage of.
You want an easy winner for the night? Any teams traveling schedule can be extremely helpful. There are long 5, 6 or even 7 game road trips all the time in every sport by every team. You have to catch teams when they are most vulnerable.
If you look at the stats, you will find that home teams are a much more reliable bet. Few years ago, in the NBA, 65% of games won were by the home team, and only one team had more wins on the road then at home. In the NHL 60% of all games won were on home ice with only 2 teams in the entire league with a more road wins then home wins. The MLB produced 59% of all wins at home, with 2 teams having more road wins. In the shorter NFL season 57% of all wins were at home and 8 teams had better road records. The numbers don’t lie.
So they are on the road and tired. Does that mean they are going to lose every game? No, not necessarily. What if they are playing back to back road games, game 4 and 5 of a 7 game trip? I will bet them to lose game 5. They have already played 4 road games, been in 4 different cities and just played the night before. They have a lot of things going against them. You could also check there opponents schedule. What if the home team hasn’t played in 3 days? They have been at home in their comfortable beds just waiting for this tired battered team to enter their building. And believe me the home team knows the other team is tired and want to capitalize on it. That is one of the reasons that teams home record is usually much better then their road record.
There are a few long road trips and tired teams every week, so you must be on the lookout. You must be careful about a few things when looking at a teams traveling situation. Gambling trends usually indicate a team will usually win in its first game of a long road trip. The reason for this is they know the trip will be tough and they are going to run into some disadvantages along the road. So they try to get that first win so that they can get at least something from the road trip and the first one is their best chance.
Finding a really tired team on a long road trip is only half the battle. Make sure you check out what the opponent has been up to. A lot of times you see a team playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and you make the bets. Then you find out the team you bet on has also played 3 games in 4 nights and now there are no advantages.
You don’t have to always look for the tired road team. Home teams get tired too. Playing a lot of games in a lot of nights, even if at home can be tough. Especially against a team that has been off a couple of days. Another gambling trend is that home teams usually lose their first game back home after a long road trip. It makes sense. You are away from your wife for a couple of weeks; you waste all your energy on taking care of her rather then the game. [Read more…]